Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.080868 0.096023 0.113021 0.133467 0.157362 0.184373 0.217190
2025-02-23 0.059937 0.080136 0.105368 0.139064 0.182733 0.237247 0.310275
2025-03-02 0.044406 0.065299 0.093738 0.134981 0.192909 0.270964 0.383615
2025-03-09 0.035535 0.056588 0.087366 0.135139 0.206800 0.309521 0.466914
2025-03-16 0.028742 0.049122 0.080851 0.133121 0.216137 0.341652 0.544089
2025-03-23 0.024769 0.045069 0.078482 0.136475 0.233278 0.386551 0.644910
2025-03-30 0.020862 0.040271 0.073928 0.135261 0.242475 0.419609 0.730530
2025-04-06 0.017451 0.035635 0.068765 0.131970 0.247336 0.445645 0.807050
2025-04-13 0.014547 0.031352 0.063451 0.127422 0.249058 0.466091 0.875790
2025-04-20 0.012982 0.029383 0.062078 0.129845 0.263499 0.510033 0.990187
2025-04-27 0.011503 0.027302 0.060121 0.130765 0.275058 0.549780 1.100944
2025-05-04 0.010203 0.025355 0.058107 0.131206 0.285594 0.588530 1.213638
2025-05-11 0.009166 0.023844 0.056845 0.133180 0.299787 0.636478 1.350564
2025-05-18 0.008496 0.023077 0.057098 0.138481 0.321646 0.702103 1.529835
2025-05-25 0.007285 0.020732 0.053386 0.134353 0.322653 0.725354 1.625446
2025-06-01 0.006503 0.019329 0.051649 0.134497 0.333069 0.769254 1.768543
2025-06-08 0.005712 0.017735 0.049177 0.132486 0.338233 0.802305 1.891690
2025-06-15 0.005280 0.017055 0.048898 0.135824 0.356346 0.865660 2.087485
2025-06-22 0.004698 0.015817 0.046951 0.134615 0.363280 0.904451 2.232027
2025-06-29 0.004110 0.014430 0.044368 0.131340 0.364621 0.930385 2.349613
2025-07-06 0.003556 0.013025 0.041491 0.126812 0.362141 0.946933 2.446761
2025-07-13 0.003293 0.012520 0.041124 0.129224 0.378146 1.009833 2.661095
2025-07-20 0.003012 0.011888 0.040279 0.130140 0.390247 1.064300 2.860098